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HHC vs De Treffers Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:30

HHC

PPG 1.92 · HOME

LAST 5

WWW ··

UPCOMING

De Treffers

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWD ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 66% chance

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.7% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-16.0%0-24.5%0-32.2%0-4+1.2%1 1-06.9%1-110.3%1-27.7%1-33.8%1-4+2.0%2 2-06.0%2-18.9%2-26.6%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.4%3-15.1%3-23.8%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.2%4+-22.4%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.8% 32.3% 3.10 +32.7%

Draw 22.8% 29.4% 3.40 -13.5%

Away win 34.3% 51.3% 1.95 -33.1%

Over 2.5 63.7% 66.7% 1.50 -4.5%

Over 3.5 40.3% 46.7% 2.14 -13.8%

BTTS 63.1% 69.4% 1.44 -9.1%

Home O1.5 49.9% 48.1% 2.08 +3.8%

Away O1.5 42.2% 61.7% 1.62 -31.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.1%

H 43% / xG 1.7-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.3%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–0 6.0%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HHC1.7

De Treffers1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HHC · PPG 1.92

DE TREFFERS · PPG 1.89

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

66%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

HHC (H) 42.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +32.7%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -13.5%

De Treffers (A) 34.3%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -33.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

HHC face De Treffers in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HHC a 43% chance, the draw 23% and De Treffers 34%, so HHC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for HHC and 1.5 for De Treffers (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HHC are averaging 1.92 points per game versus 1.89 for De Treffers. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +17.1%.

HHC vs De Treffers Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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