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GVVV Veenendaal vs Quick Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:30

GVVV Veenendaal

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

LLL ··

UPCOMING

Quick Boys

PPG 1.99 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 66% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-16.3%0-26.7%0-34.7%0-4+4.0%1 1-04.2%1-18.8%1-29.3%1-36.6%1-4+5.6%2 2-02.9%2-16.2%2-26.5%2-34.6%2-4+3.9%3 3-01.4%3-12.9%3-23.0%3-32.1%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.4%4+-21.4%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.8% 20.0% 5.00 +8.4%

Draw 20.1% 25.0% 4.00 -11.8%

Away win 57.0% 69.4% 1.44 -17.9%

Over 2.5 68.4% 65.4% 1.53 +4.7%

Over 3.5 45.0% 47.6% 2.10 -5.5%

BTTS 62.6% 65.4% 1.53 -4.2%

Home O1.5 39.8% 34.1% 2.93 +16.6%

Away O1.5 58.6% 70.9% 1.41 -17.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob62.6%

A 57% / xG 1.4-2.1 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.3%

#2 1–1 8.8%

#3 0–2 6.7%

#4 1–3 6.6%

#5 2–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GVVV Veenendaal1.4

Quick Boys2.1

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GVVV VEENENDAAL · PPG 1.20

QUICK BOYS · PPG 1.99

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

Chance this pick lands

66%

DANGER

xG gap -0.71 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

GVVV Veenendaal (H) 22.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +8.4%

Draw 20.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -11.8%

Quick Boys (A) 57.0%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -17.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

GVVV Veenendaal face Quick Boys in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GVVV Veenendaal a 23% chance, the draw 20% and Quick Boys 57%, so Quick Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for GVVV Veenendaal and 2.1 for Quick Boys (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GVVV Veenendaal are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.99 for Quick Boys. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +41.0%.

GVVV Veenendaal vs Quick Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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