Today / Stenungsund vs VIF

Stenungsund vs VIF Prediction

Thursday, June 4, 2026

Stenungsund

PPG 2.20 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

VIF

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-12.0%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.1%1-15.8%1-22.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.0%2-18.4%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.7%3-18.2%3-23.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-013.1%4+-112.4%4+-25.8%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.1% — — —

Draw 19.6% — — —

Away win 14.3% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 45.3% — — —

BTTS 60.6% — — —

Home O1.5 74.3% — — —

Away O1.5 27.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob60.6%

H 66% / xG 2.9-0.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.0%

#2 3–0 8.7%

#3 2–1 8.4%

#4 3–1 8.2%

#5 1–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stenungsund2.9

VIF0.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 45.3%

Form & verdict PPG

STENUNGSUND · PPG 2.20

VIF · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away POOR (0.80) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Stenungsund (H) 66.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

VIF (A) 14.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stenungsund face VIF on Thursday, June 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stenungsund a 66% chance, the draw 20% and VIF 14%, so Stenungsund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Stenungsund and 0.9 for VIF (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stenungsund are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.80 for VIF. This match finished 5-0.

Stenungsund vs VIF Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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