Today / Sweden - Ettan - Södra / Laholm vs Hassleholms IF

Laholm vs Hassleholms IF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 11 ·Thursday, June 4, 2026, 17:00

Laholm

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Hassleholms IF

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 68.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+5.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-15.5%0-26.7%0-35.4%0-4+5.9%1 1-03.1%1-17.5%1-29.1%1-37.4%1-4+8.0%2 2-02.1%2-15.1%2-26.2%2-35.0%2-4+5.4%3 3-00.9%3-12.3%3-22.8%3-32.3%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-11.1%4+-21.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.6% 21.1% 4.75 +1.6%

Draw 20.9% 25.3% 3.95 -10.5%

Away win 57.6% 63.7% 1.57 -9.6%

Over 2.5 65.4% 61.7% 1.62 +5.9%

Over 3.5 43.0% 40.0% 2.50 +7.5%

BTTS 63.4% 61.7% 1.62 +2.7%

Home O1.5 46.9% 32.3% 3.10 +45.4%

Away O1.5 68.3% 64.5% 1.55 +5.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 34%

ROI 10.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob63.4%

A 58% / xG 1.4-2.4 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2✓ 9.1%

#2 1–1 7.5%

#3 1–3 7.4%

#4 0–2 6.7%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Laholm1.4

Hassleholms IF2.4

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LAHOLM · PPG 1.00

HASSLEHOLMS IF · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Laholm (H) 21.6%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +1.6%

Draw 20.9%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -10.5%

Hassleholms IF (A) 57.6%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -9.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Laholm face Hassleholms IF in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Thursday, June 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Laholm a 22% chance, the draw 21% and Hassleholms IF 58%, so Hassleholms IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Laholm and 2.4 for Hassleholms IF (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Laholm are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Hassleholms IF. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +45.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Laholm vs Hassleholms IF Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Ettan - Södra Predictions