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Sweden - Ettan - Norra logo Sweden flag Sweden - Ettan - Norra Norra - 10 Skytteholms IP· Solna Wednesday, June 3, 2026 17:30
Vasalund logo Vasalund PPG 1.50
3-1 MISS
Jarfalla logo Jarfalla PPG 1.00
Away· +69.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.6%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -37.8%
Draw 24.8%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -2.0%
Away 35.7%
Odds: 4.75 EV: +69.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.9% Odds: 1.50 -7.1%
Over 3.5 39.0% Odds: 2.20 -14.2%
BTTS 61.4% Odds: 1.50 -7.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasalund
1.55
Jarfalla
1.51

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+69.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -26.9%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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