Today / Sweden - Ettan - Södra / Olympic vs Lund

Olympic vs Lund Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Södra - 10 ·Wednesday, June 3, 2026, 17:00

Olympic

PPG 1.50 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Lund

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-18.6%0-27.7%0-34.6%0-4+3.1%1 1-06.0%1-110.7%1-29.6%1-35.7%1-4+3.9%2 2-03.7%2-16.6%2-26.0%2-33.6%2-4+2.4%3 3-01.5%3-12.7%3-22.5%3-31.5%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% 42.0% 2.38 -20.0%

Draw 22.4% 27.8% 3.60 -11.6%

Away win 49.6% 40.0% 2.50 +24.0%

Over 2.5 64.1% 64.5% 1.55 -0.6%

Over 3.5 39.2% 42.0% 2.38 -6.7%

BTTS 61.4% 69.0% 1.45 -11.0%

Home O1.5 46.9% 52.4% 1.91 -10.4%

Away O1.5 44.6% 51.3% 1.95 -13.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 34%

ROI 10.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob61.4%

A 50% / xG 1.2-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 7.7%

#4 0–1 8.6%

#5 2–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Olympic1.2

Lund1.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OLYMPIC · PPG 1.50

LUND · PPG 1.20

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Olympic (H) 28.0%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -20.0%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -11.6%

Lund (A) 49.6%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +24.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Olympic face Lund in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Wednesday, June 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Olympic a 28% chance, the draw 22% and Lund 50%, so Lund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Olympic and 1.8 for Lund (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Olympic are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.20 for Lund. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +24.0%. This match finished 1-3.

Olympic vs Lund Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Ettan - Södra Predictions