Today / Marchfeld vs Donaufeld

Marchfeld vs Donaufeld Prediction

Wednesday, June 3, 2026

Marchfeld

PPG 1.87 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Donaufeld

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-17.5%0-24.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.1%1-111.8%1-26.9%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.4%2-25.4%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.2%3-14.9%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.8%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 26.9% — — —

Over 2.5 60.7% — — —

Over 3.5 36.6% — — —

BTTS 60.2% — — —

Home O1.5 51.7% — — —

Away O1.5 32.0% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.2%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 10.1%

#4 0–0 6.4%

#5 2–0✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marchfeld1.6

Donaufeld1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MARCHFELD · PPG 1.87

DONAUFELD · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.87) > Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Marchfeld (H) 48.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Donaufeld (A) 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marchfeld face Donaufeld on Wednesday, June 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marchfeld a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Donaufeld 27%, so Marchfeld are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Marchfeld and 1.2 for Donaufeld (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marchfeld are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.47 for Donaufeld. This match finished 2-0.

Marchfeld vs Donaufeld Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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