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Sweden - Ettan - Norra Monday, June 1, 2026 17:30 
Arlanda PPG 1.50 
Gefle PPG 0.20
Sweden - Ettan - Norra Monday, June 1, 2026 17:30 Arlanda PPG 1.502-3 MISS
Gefle PPG 0.20Home + Over 2.5· +24.0% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 52.5% Odds: 1.77 -7.1%
Over 3.5 31.8% Odds: 2.95 -6.2%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 1.67 -21.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 3-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Arlanda 2.16
Gefle 0.67
Model Suggestion
Home +10.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Home + Over 2.5(+24.0%)
Raw EV leader: Home + Over 2.5(+24.0%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 25 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 28%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -26.9%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 95%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=62.9%