Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 / Asane B vs Gneist

Asane B vs Gneist Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 17:00

Asane B

PPG 0.67 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Gneist

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 68.3% vs bookmaker-implied 70.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-12.8%0-22.5%0-31.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-03.8%1-16.7%1-25.9%1-33.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.5%2-17.9%2-27.0%2-34.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.5%3-16.2%3-25.5%3-33.3%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-16.4%4+-25.7%4+-33.4%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% 59.9% 1.67 -13.7%

Draw 22.6% 23.1% 4.33 -1.3%

Away win 25.7% 28.6% 3.50 -6.0%

Over 2.5 63.9% 73.5% 1.36 -13.1%

Over 3.5 59.2% 53.5% 1.87 +10.7%

BTTS 63.0% 73.5% 1.36 -14.3%

Home O1.5 68.3% 70.9% 1.41 -3.7%

Away O1.5 52.9% 45.0% 2.22 +17.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.0%

H 52% / xG 2.4-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%

#2 1–1 6.7%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 3–1 6.2%

#5 1–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Asane B2.4

Gneist1.8

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 59.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ASANE B · PPG 0.67

GNEIST · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Asane B (H) 51.7%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -13.7%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -1.3%

Gneist (A) 25.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Asane B face Gneist in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Asane B a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Gneist 26%, so Asane B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Asane B and 1.8 for Gneist (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Asane B are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.00 for Gneist. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +17.4%. This match finished 3-3.

Asane B vs Gneist Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 Predictions