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Forde vs OS Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:00

Forde

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O3.5

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 6.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.5%0-21.0%0-31.6%0-4+6.6%1 1-00.2%1-11.1%1-22.4%1-33.7%1-4+15.4%2 2-00.3%2-11.2%2-22.8%2-34.3%2-4+17.8%3 3-00.2%3-10.9%3-22.2%3-33.3%3-4+13.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.9%4+-22.2%4+-33.3%4+-4+13.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 14.0% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 65.6% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 91.4% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 91%

BTTS 91%

Score Hit 18%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)4.6 BTTS prob66.7%

A 66% / xG 2.3-4.6 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–4 5.0%

#2 2–5 4.6%

#3 2–3 4.3%

#4 1–4 4.3%

#5 1–5 3.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Forde2.3

OS4.6

COMBINED 6.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 91.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FORDE · PPG 2.00

OS · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Forde (H) 14.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

OS (A) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Forde face OS in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Forde a 14% chance, the draw 20% and OS 66%, so OS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Forde and 4.6 for OS (6.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-4. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Forde are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for OS. This match finished 2-1.

Forde vs OS Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 3

Match Preview & Prediction

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