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Brazil - Serie C logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie C Regular Season - 9 Estadio Jonas Duarte Sunday, May 31, 2026 21:30
Anapolis logo Anapolis PPG 1.33
0-0 HIT CS2
Maranhao logo Maranhao PPG 0.75
Away· +28.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.2%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -29.4%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -5.9%
Away 35.7%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +28.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.05 -5.3%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 3.65 +0.7%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.80 -7.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Anapolis
1.20
Maranhao
1.09

Model Suggestion

BTTS -7.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+28.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 47%
BTTS/No 58%
Score Hit 68%
ROI -29.4%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.75)

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