Today / Brazil - Serie C / Anapolis vs Maranhao

Anapolis vs Maranhao Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 21:30

Anapolis

PPG 1.33 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Maranhao

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-111.0%0-26.0%0-32.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.1%1-113.2%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.3%2-17.9%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.9%3-13.2%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 51.3% 1.95 -29.4%

Draw 28.2% 31.3% 3.20 -5.9%

Away win 35.7% 27.8% 3.60 +28.5%

Over 2.5 46.2% 48.8% 2.05 -5.3%

Over 3.5 27.7% 27.4% 3.65 +0.7%

BTTS 51.6% 55.6% 1.80 -7.1%

Home O1.5 33.7% 47.6% 2.10 -29.2%

Away O1.5 29.9% 30.8% 3.25 -1.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -25.7%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.6%

D 28% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0✓ 10.1%

#3 1–0 12.1%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anapolis1.2

Maranhao1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ANAPOLIS · PPG 1.33

MARANHAO · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Anapolis (H) 36.2%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -29.4%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -5.9%

Maranhao (A) 35.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +28.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Anapolis face Maranhao in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anapolis a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Maranhao 36%, so Anapolis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Anapolis and 1.1 for Maranhao (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anapolis are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.75 for Maranhao. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +28.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Anapolis vs Maranhao Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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