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Inter Limeira vs Ypiranga Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 19:00

Inter Limeira

PPG 0.50 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Ypiranga

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.4% vs bookmaker-implied 50.0% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-19.8%0-24.8%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.2%1-113.0%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.7%2-18.6%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.8%3-13.8%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.7%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 54.1% 1.85 -9.7%

Draw 27.1% 32.3% 3.10 -9.6%

Away win 24.0% 24.4% 4.10 -1.0%

Over 2.5 46.7% 42.6% 2.35 +9.8%

Over 3.5 27.7% 23.1% 4.33 +12.0%

BTTS 51.4% 50.0% 2.00 +2.8%

Home O1.5 38.1% 46.5% 2.15 -18.1%

Away O1.5 25.9% 25.3% 3.95 +1.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -25.7%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.4%

H 49% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 10.0%

#3 1–0 13.2%

#4 2–0 8.7%

#5 2–1✓ 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Limeira1.3

Ypiranga1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.7% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER LIMEIRA · PPG 0.50

YPIRANGA · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.50), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Inter Limeira (H) 48.8%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -9.7%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -9.6%

Ypiranga (A) 24.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Limeira face Ypiranga in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Limeira a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Ypiranga 24%, so Inter Limeira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Inter Limeira and 1.0 for Ypiranga (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Limeira are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Ypiranga. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Inter Limeira vs Ypiranga Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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