Today / Brazil - Serie C / Guarani vs Amazonas

Guarani vs Amazonas Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 19:00

Guarani

PPG 1.75 · HOME

5 – 0

FULL TIME

Amazonas

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.8%0-111.0%0-25.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.2%1-113.2%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.6%2-18.0%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.2%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.1% 52.6% 1.90 -12.4%

Draw 28.1% 33.3% 3.00 -9.4%

Away win 25.9% 24.4% 4.10 +3.7%

Over 2.5 46.4% 40.8% 2.45 +13.7%

Over 3.5 27.7% 22.2% 4.50 +14.8%

BTTS 49.3% 48.8% 2.05 +1.1%

Home O1.5 34.0% 44.4% 2.25 -23.5%

Away O1.5 23.9% 25.0% 4.00 -2.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -25.7%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.3%

H 46% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.8%

#3 1–0 14.2%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guarani1.2

Amazonas0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GUARANI · PPG 1.75

AMAZONAS · PPG 2.00

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Guarani (H) 46.1%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -12.4%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.4%

Amazonas (A) 25.9%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Guarani face Amazonas in Brazil - Serie C on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guarani a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Amazonas 26%, so Guarani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Guarani and 0.9 for Amazonas (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guarani are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.00 for Amazonas. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.8%. This match finished 5-0.

Guarani vs Amazonas Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie C Predictions