Today / Poland - II Liga - East / Rekord Bielsko vs Resovia Rzeszow

Rekord Bielsko vs Resovia Rzeszow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 15:00

Rekord Bielsko

PPG 1.14 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Resovia Rzeszow

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-18.4%0-26.1%0-33.0%0-4+1.5%1 1-08.1%1-111.8%1-28.5%1-34.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.2%2-25.9%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.6%3-13.8%3-22.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.8%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.1% 43.5% 2.30 -17.0%

Draw 25.0% 33.3% 3.00 -25.0%

Away win 38.9% 36.4% 2.75 +7.0%

Over 2.5 54.1% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 57.6% 60.6% 1.65 -5.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob57.6%

A 39% / xG 1.4-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 0–1 8.4%

#4 2–1✓ 8.2%

#5 1–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rekord Bielsko1.4

Resovia Rzeszow1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

REKORD BIELSKO · PPG 1.14

RESOVIA RZESZOW · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.21)

Win probability 1X2

Rekord Bielsko (H) 36.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -17.0%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -25.0%

Resovia Rzeszow (A) 38.9%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +7.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rekord Bielsko face Resovia Rzeszow in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rekord Bielsko a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Resovia Rzeszow 39%, so Resovia Rzeszow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Rekord Bielsko and 1.5 for Resovia Rzeszow (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rekord Bielsko are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.21 for Resovia Rzeszow. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Rekord Bielsko vs Resovia Rzeszow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - II Liga - East Predictions