Today / Norway - 1. Division / Raufoss vs Haugesund

Raufoss vs Haugesund Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 15:00

Raufoss

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Haugesund

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 77.2% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a clear edge.

+25.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-14.5%0-26.4%0-36.0%0-4+8.4%1 1-02.1%1-15.9%1-28.4%1-37.9%1-4+11.0%2 2-01.4%2-13.9%2-25.5%2-35.2%2-4+7.2%3 3-00.6%3-11.7%3-22.4%3-32.3%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.7%4+-21.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 16.4% 28.2% 3.55 -25.1%

Draw 20.1% 26.7% 3.75 -14.8%

Away win 63.5% 55.6% 1.80 +14.3%

Over 2.5 65.8% 65.4% 1.53 +0.7%

Over 3.5 45.5% 42.6% 2.35 +6.9%

BTTS 63.4% 67.6% 1.48 -6.2%

Home O1.5 37.7% 41.7% 2.40 -9.5%

Away O1.5 77.2% 61.7% 1.62 +25.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-4

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob63.4%

A 64% / xG 1.3-2.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.4%

#2 1–3 7.9%

#3 1–1 5.9%

#4 0–2 6.4%

#5 0–3 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raufoss1.3

Haugesund2.8

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RAUFOSS · PPG 1.00

HAUGESUND · PPG 1.80

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Raufoss (H) 16.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -25.1%

Draw 20.1%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -14.8%

Haugesund (A) 63.5%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV +14.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Raufoss face Haugesund in Norway - 1. Division on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raufoss a 16% chance, the draw 20% and Haugesund 64%, so Haugesund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Raufoss and 2.8 for Haugesund (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raufoss are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.80 for Haugesund. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +44.5%. This match finished 3-4.

Raufoss vs Haugesund Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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