Today / Norway - 1. Division / Ranheim vs Sandnes Ulf

Ranheim vs Sandnes Ulf Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 15:00

Ranheim

PPG 2.50 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Sandnes Ulf

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 73.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7% — a clear edge.

+15.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.6%0-21.7%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.3%1-16.8%1-24.3%1-31.8%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.9%2-18.9%2-25.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.1%3-17.8%3-25.0%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-07.5%4+-19.6%4+-26.1%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.4% 55.6% 1.80 -0.3%

Draw 21.1% 26.3% 3.80 -11.9%

Away win 23.4% 28.2% 3.55 -10.2%

Over 2.5 65.8% 69.0% 1.45 -4.6%

Over 3.5 45.3% 46.5% 2.15 -2.6%

BTTS 63.4% 70.4% 1.42 -10.0%

Home O1.5 73.7% 63.7% 1.57 +15.7%

Away O1.5 36.6% 43.5% 2.30 -15.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.4%

H 55% / xG 2.6-1.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.9%

#2 1–1 6.8%

#3 3–1 7.8%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 3–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ranheim2.6

Sandnes Ulf1.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.3%

Form & verdict PPG

RANHEIM · PPG 2.50

SANDNES ULF · PPG 0.75

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=55.4%

Win probability 1X2

Ranheim (H) 55.4%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -0.3%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -11.9%

Sandnes Ulf (A) 23.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -10.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ranheim face Sandnes Ulf in Norway - 1. Division on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ranheim a 55% chance, the draw 21% and Sandnes Ulf 23%, so Ranheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Ranheim and 1.3 for Sandnes Ulf (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ranheim are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Sandnes Ulf. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +25.6%. This match finished 5-1.

Ranheim vs Sandnes Ulf Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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