Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.30 -14.5%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 1.80 -22.4%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.50 -17.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-0 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✔
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 4-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -14.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+17.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=61.3%