Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Drobak-Frogn vs Bjorkelangen

Drobak-Frogn vs Bjorkelangen Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 13:00

Drobak-Frogn logo
Drobak-Frogn
PPG 1.33 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Bjorkelangen logo
Bjorkelangen
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-10.7%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.5%1-12.9%1-21.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.7%2-15.6%2-22.3%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.7%3-17.3%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-023.7%4+-119.8%4+-28.2%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 70.9%
Draw 20.3%
Away win 8.8%
Over 2.5 72.7%
Over 3.5 54.6%
BTTS 56.0%
Home O1.5 90.0%
Away O1.5 20.3%

League track record

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%
O2.5 64%
BTTS 36%
Score Hit 36%
ROI -56.8%
Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 71%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)3.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob56.0%

H 71% / xG 3.9-0.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.7%
#2 4–0 8.5%
#3 3–1 7.3%
#4 4–1 7.1%
#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Drobak-Frogn3.9
Bjorkelangen0.8

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

DROBAK-FROGN · PPG 1.33

BJORKELANGEN · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Drobak-Frogn (H) 70.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bjorkelangen (A) 8.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Drobak-Frogn face Bjorkelangen in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Drobak-Frogn a 71% chance, the draw 20% and Bjorkelangen 9%, so Drobak-Frogn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for Drobak-Frogn and 0.8 for Bjorkelangen (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Drobak-Frogn are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Bjorkelangen. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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