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Lyn B vs Drobak-Frogn Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 16:00

Lyn B

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Drobak-Frogn

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=51.8%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.7%0-22.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.7%1 1-05.3%1-18.1%1-26.1%1-33.1%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.9%2-18.9%2-26.8%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.3%3-16.6%3-25.0%3-32.5%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-16.1%4+-24.6%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.8% — — —

Draw 23.8% — — —

Away win 24.5% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 51.1% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 64.7% — — —

Away O1.5 44.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.5%

H 52% / xG 2.2-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 1–2✓ 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyn B2.2

Drobak-Frogn1.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 51.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LYN B · PPG 3.00

DROBAK-FROGN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=51.8%

Win probability 1X2

Lyn B (H) 51.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Drobak-Frogn (A) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyn B face Drobak-Frogn in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyn B a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Drobak-Frogn 25%, so Lyn B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Lyn B and 1.5 for Drobak-Frogn (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyn B are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Drobak-Frogn. This match finished 1-2.

Lyn B vs Drobak-Frogn Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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