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Latvia - Virsliga logo Latvia flag Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 16 Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs· Jelgava Sunday, May 31, 2026 13:00
FS Jelgava logo FS Jelgava PPG 1.00
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Daugavpils logo Daugavpils PPG 0.83
Away· +16.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.6%
Odds: 2.40 EV: -18.8%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -8.5%
Away 45.8%
Odds: 2.55 EV: +16.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.5% Odds: 1.80 -1.9%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 3.00 -3.4%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.62 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 0-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

FS Jelgava
1.10
Daugavpils
1.57

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.83)

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