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Pitea vs Stockholm Inter Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra - 10 ·Sunday, May 31, 2026, 12:00

Pitea

PPG 0.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Stockholm Inter

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 72.7% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-17.1%0-29.1%0-37.8%0-4+9.3%1 1-02.8%1-17.2%1-29.3%1-38.0%1-4+9.5%2 2-01.4%2-13.7%2-24.7%2-34.1%2-4+4.8%3 3-00.5%3-11.3%3-21.6%3-31.4%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.1% 12.1% 8.25 +24.6%

Draw 21.0% 21.7% 4.60 -2.0%

Away win 62.0% 76.9% 1.30 -19.4%

Over 2.5 65.8% 65.4% 1.53 +0.7%

Over 3.5 43.1% 42.6% 2.35 +1.3%

BTTS 61.0% 56.5% 1.77 +8.0%

Home O1.5 27.1% 23.8% 4.20 +8.3%

Away O1.5 72.7% 73.5% 1.36 -1.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob61.0%

A 62% / xG 1.0-2.6 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.3%

#2 0–2 9.1%

#3 1–1 7.2%

#4 1–3 8.0%

#5 0–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pitea1.0

Stockholm Inter2.6

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PITEA · PPG 0.00

STOCKHOLM INTER · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Pitea (H) 17.1%

ODDS 8.25 · IMPLIED 12.1% EV +24.6%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -2.0%

Stockholm Inter (A) 62.0%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -19.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pitea face Stockholm Inter in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, May 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pitea a 17% chance, the draw 21% and Stockholm Inter 62%, so Stockholm Inter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Pitea and 2.6 for Stockholm Inter (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pitea are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Stockholm Inter. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +24.6%. This match finished 2-2.

Pitea vs Stockholm Inter Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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