Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Frigg vs IF Ready

Frigg vs IF Ready Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

Frigg

PPG 1.11 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDWD

UPCOMING

IF Ready

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 78% chance

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.8%0-23.5%0-32.2%0-4+1.5%1 1-04.1%1-17.7%1-27.1%1-34.4%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.2%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.9%3-15.3%3-25.0%3-33.1%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-14.4%4+-24.0%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% 51.3% 1.95 -14.4%

Draw 21.0% 25.0% 4.00 -9.6%

Away win 35.0% 37.0% 2.70 -5.5%

Over 2.5 68.4% 82.0% 1.22 -16.6%

Over 3.5 49.4% 68.0% 1.47 -27.4%

BTTS 67.8% 83.3% 1.20 -18.6%

Home O1.5 57.8% 73.5% 1.36 -21.4%

Away O1.5 58.3% 62.1% 1.61 -6.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 82%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -35.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob67.8%

H 44% / xG 2.0-1.9 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Frigg2.0

IF Ready1.9

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 49.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FRIGG · PPG 1.11

IF READY · PPG 1.50

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

78%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Frigg (H) 43.9%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -14.4%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -9.6%

IF Ready (A) 35.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Frigg face IF Ready in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Frigg a 44% chance, the draw 21% and IF Ready 35%, so Frigg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Frigg and 1.9 for IF Ready (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Frigg are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.50 for IF Ready.

Frigg vs IF Ready Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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