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Brazil - Serie C logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie C Regular Season - 9 Estadio Francisco Stedile· Caxias do Sul Saturday, May 30, 2026 22:30
Caxias logo Caxias PPG 3.00
2-1 MISS
Ituano logo Ituano PPG 1.00
Away· +14.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 41.2%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -23.8%
Draw 30.7%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -9.4%
Away 28.1%
Odds: 4.40 EV: +14.2%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.0% Odds: 2.65 -9.9%
Over 3.5 18.6% Odds: 5.00 -4.2%
BTTS 45.5% Odds: 2.25 +2.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Caxias
1.07
Ituano
0.65

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=41.2%

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