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Floresta vs Confianca Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 20:00

Floresta

PPG 1.25 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Confianca

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.4%0-111.5%0-23.1%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.5%1-111.5%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.8%2-15.8%2-21.6%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.6%3-11.9%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% 44.4% 2.25 -3.0%

Draw 33.9% 35.1% 2.85 -3.4%

Away win 23.0% 29.9% 3.35 -13.8%

Over 2.5 32.7% 37.7% 2.65 -13.3%

Over 3.5 18.6% 20.0% 5.00 -4.2%

BTTS 44.4% 47.6% 2.10 -6.8%

Home O1.5 26.7% 37.0% 2.70 -16.8%

Away O1.5 10.1% 27.0% 3.70 -37.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 59%

ROI -25.7%

Bet Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.4%

H 43% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.4%

#2 1–0✓ 21.5%

#3 1–1 11.5%

#4 2–0 10.8%

#5 0–1 11.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Floresta1.0

Confianca0.5

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.7% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FLORESTA · PPG 1.25

CONFIANCA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Floresta (H) 43.1%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -3.0%

Draw 33.9%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -3.4%

Confianca (A) 23.0%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -13.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Floresta face Confianca in Brazil - Serie C on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Floresta a 43% chance, the draw 34% and Confianca 23%, so Floresta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Floresta and 0.5 for Confianca (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Floresta are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.00 for Confianca. This match finished 1-0.

Floresta vs Confianca Prediction— Brazil - Serie C

Match Preview & Prediction

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