Today / Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion / Vevey Sports vs Paradiso

Vevey Sports vs Paradiso Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Vevey Sports

PPG 0.38 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Paradiso

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Home weakness: POOR (0.38) vs Away POOR (0.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-16.0%0-26.8%0-35.2%0-4+5.1%1 1-03.5%1-18.1%1-29.3%1-37.1%1-4+6.9%2 2-02.4%2-15.5%2-26.3%2-34.8%2-4+4.7%3 3-01.1%3-12.5%3-22.9%3-32.2%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.1%4+-21.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.2% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 57.5% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 39.4% — — —

Away O1.5 66.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.4%

A 57% / xG 1.4-2.3 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.1%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 1–3 7.1%

#4 0–2✓ 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vevey Sports1.4

Paradiso2.3

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VEVEY SPORTS · PPG 0.38

PARADISO · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.38) vs Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Vevey Sports (H) 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Paradiso (A) 57.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vevey Sports face Paradiso in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vevey Sports a 21% chance, the draw 21% and Paradiso 57%, so Paradiso are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Vevey Sports and 2.3 for Paradiso (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vevey Sports are averaging 0.38 points per game versus 0.75 for Paradiso. This match finished 0-2.

Vevey Sports vs Paradiso Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

More Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion Predictions