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Kriens vs Bavois Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Kriens

PPG 2.69 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Bavois

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.69) vs P(Home)=60.7%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.5%0-21.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-03.4%1-14.7%1-23.2%1-31.5%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.4%2-17.4%2-25.1%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.7%3-17.8%3-25.3%3-32.4%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-09.7%4+-113.4%4+-29.2%4+-34.2%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.7% — — —

Draw 19.6% — — —

Away win 19.7% — — —

Over 2.5 72.7% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 82.1% — — —

Away O1.5 39.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.4%

H 61% / xG 3.1-1.4 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%

#2 2–1✓ 7.4%

#3 4–1 6.1%

#4 3–0 5.7%

#5 1–1 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kriens3.1

Bavois1.4

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.7% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

KRIENS · PPG 2.69

BAVOIS · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.69) vs P(Home)=60.7%

Win probability 1X2

Kriens (H) 60.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bavois (A) 19.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kriens face Bavois in Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kriens a 61% chance, the draw 20% and Bavois 20%, so Kriens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Kriens and 1.4 for Bavois (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kriens are averaging 2.69 points per game versus 1.38 for Bavois. This match finished 2-1.

Kriens vs Bavois Prediction— Switzerland - 1. Liga Promotion

Match Preview & Prediction

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