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Elfsborg W vs Enskede W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Elfsborg W

PPG 2.33 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Enskede W

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 56.2% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-15.1%0-21.0%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.1%1-18.4%1-21.7%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.6%2-17.0%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-09.8%3-13.9%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-12.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.2% 76.9% 1.30 -26.9%

Draw 22.6% 19.0% 5.25 +11.2%

Away win 21.1% 15.4% 6.50 +22.3%

Over 2.5 46.6% 69.4% 1.44 -32.9%

Over 3.5 27.9% 43.7% 2.29 -21.7%

BTTS 45.5% 56.8% 1.76 -19.9%

Home O1.5 49.6% 73.5% 1.36 -32.5%

Away O1.5 6.1% 24.1% 4.15 -44.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 14%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob45.5%

H 56% / xG 1.7-0.4 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.1%

#2 2–0 17.6%

#3 0–0 12.7%

#4 3–0✓ 9.8%

#5 1–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Elfsborg W1.7

Enskede W0.4

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ELFSBORG W · PPG 2.33

ENSKEDE W · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=56.2%

Win probability 1X2

Elfsborg W (H) 56.2%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -26.9%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +11.2%

Enskede W (A) 21.1%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +22.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Elfsborg W face Enskede W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Elfsborg W a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Enskede W 21%, so Elfsborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Elfsborg W and 0.4 for Enskede W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Elfsborg W are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Enskede W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.3%. This match finished 3-0.

Elfsborg W vs Enskede W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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