Sweden - ElitettanRegular Season - 8Saturday, May 30, 202614:00
Elfsborg WPPG 2.33
3-0HIT CS4
Enskede WPPG 1.50
Away· +22.3%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home56.2%
Odds: 1.30EV: -26.9%
Draw22.6%
Odds: 5.25EV: +11.2%
Away21.1%
Odds: 6.50EV: +22.3%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.546.6%Odds: 1.44-32.9%
Over 3.527.9%Odds: 2.29-21.7%
BTTS45.5%Odds: 1.76-19.9%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-0✘
2nd2-0✘
3rd0-0✘
4th3-0✔
5th1-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Elfsborg W
1.67
Enskede W
0.40
Model Suggestion
Home-26.9%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -26.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+22.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=56.2%