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Göteborg W vs Husqvarna W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Matchday 17 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

Göteborg W

PPG 2.57 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWW

UPCOMING

Husqvarna W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 73% chance

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.7% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.7%0-21.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.6%1-17.0%1-23.7%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.7%2-19.2%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.6%3-18.0%3-24.2%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-09.4%4+-19.9%4+-25.2%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.8% 74.1% 1.35 -9.8%

Draw 17.6% 21.7% 4.60 -11.4%

Away win 15.6% 15.4% 6.50 +0.8%

Over 2.5 67.7% 75.2% 1.33 -10.0%

Over 3.5 45.0% 55.6% 1.80 -19.0%

BTTS 59.2% 64.5% 1.55 -8.2%

Home O1.5 66.3% 75.8% 1.32 -12.5%

Away O1.5 32.5% 32.9% 3.04 -1.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 45%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.2%

H 67% / xG 2.6-1.1 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 8.7%

#3 1–1 7.0%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 3–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Göteborg W2.6

Husqvarna W1.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.7% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GÖTEBORG W · PPG 2.57

HUSQVARNA W · PPG 1.75

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

73%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.57 for Home, form 2.57 vs 1.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Göteborg W (H) 66.8%

ODDS 1.35 · IMPLIED 74.1% EV -9.8%

Draw 17.6%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -11.4%

Husqvarna W (A) 15.6%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +0.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Göteborg W face Husqvarna W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Göteborg W a 67% chance, the draw 18% and Husqvarna W 16%, so Göteborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Göteborg W and 1.1 for Husqvarna W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Göteborg W are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 1.75 for Husqvarna W.

Göteborg W vs Husqvarna W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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