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Kongahalla vs Astorps FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 10 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

Kongahalla

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Astorps FF

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-16.5%0-25.8%0-33.5%0-4+2.3%1 1-05.6%1-110.0%1-28.9%1-35.3%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.3%2-17.6%2-26.8%2-34.0%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.2%3-13.9%3-23.4%3-32.0%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.1%4+-21.8%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 29.4% 3.40 +20.4%

Draw 22.4% 25.6% 3.90 -7.6%

Away win 42.3% 54.6% 1.83 -22.6%

Over 2.5 64.1% 69.0% 1.45 -7.1%

Over 3.5 40.5% 45.5% 2.20 -10.9%

BTTS 61.8% 69.4% 1.44 -11.0%

Home O1.5 45.0% 44.4% 2.25 +1.3%

Away O1.5 53.2% 63.7% 1.57 -16.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob61.8%

A 42% / xG 1.5-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.0%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.6%

#4 2–2 6.8%

#5 0–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kongahalla1.5

Astorps FF1.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KONGAHALLA · PPG 1.00

ASTORPS FF · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kongahalla (H) 35.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +20.4%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -7.6%

Astorps FF (A) 42.3%

ODDS 1.83 · IMPLIED 54.6% EV -22.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kongahalla face Astorps FF in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kongahalla a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Astorps FF 42%, so Astorps FF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Kongahalla and 1.8 for Astorps FF (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kongahalla are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Astorps FF. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +20.4%. This match finished 1-1.

Kongahalla vs Astorps FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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