Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 57.2% Odds: 1.77 +1.2%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.95 +6.8%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.60 -11.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-1 ✘
4th 0-2 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 +1.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +1.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+43.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity UPSET_VALUE Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.40)