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Sweden - Ettan - Södra logo Sweden flag Sweden - Ettan - Södra Södra - 10 Edsborgs IP Saturday, May 30, 2026 14:00
Trollhattan logo Trollhattan PPG 0.40
3-3 MISS
Atvidaberg logo Atvidaberg PPG 1.25
Away + Over 2.5· +43.5% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.6%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -21.4%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -7.0%
Away 45.8%
Odds: 2.75 EV: +25.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.2% Odds: 1.77 +1.2%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.95 +6.8%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.60 -11.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Trollhattan
1.13
Atvidaberg
1.63

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +1.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is +1.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+43.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs Home POOR (0.40)

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