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Sweden - Ettan - Södra logo Sweden flag Sweden - Ettan - Södra Södra - 10 Osteras IP· Hassleholm Saturday, May 30, 2026 14:00
Hassleholms IF logo Hassleholms IF PPG 1.00
3-0 HIT CS2
Utsikten logo Utsikten PPG 0.75
Away· +13.5% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.6%
Odds: 1.33 EV: -16.7%
Draw 19.9%
Odds: 4.80 EV: -2.7%
Away 17.5%
Odds: 7.00 EV: +13.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.48 -2.6%
Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 2.20 -5.2%
BTTS 55.6% Odds: 1.70 -5.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-1
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Hassleholms IF
2.99
Utsikten
0.89

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+13.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -6.6%
Bet Hit 56% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

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