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Latvia - Virsliga
Regular Season - 16
Skonto stadions· Riga
Saturday, May 30, 2026
14:00
Auda
PPG 1.71
2-0
HIT CS2
Ogre United
PPG 0.00
Away· +61.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
64.9%
Odds: 1.14
EV: -26.0%
Draw
20.6%
Odds: 6.50
EV: +20.3%
Away
14.5%
Odds: 14.00
EV: +61.8%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
65.8%
Odds: 1.33
-12.5%
Over 3.5
44.3%
Odds: 1.85
-18.0%
BTTS
55.3%
Odds: 1.95
+7.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
3-0
✘
2nd
2-0
✔
3rd
3-1
✘
4th
4-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Auda
3.23
Ogre United
0.86
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-12.5%
EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking:
excluded — EV is negative (-12.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40%
NEUTRAL
No PPG data