Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Ranheim B vs Herd

Ranheim B vs Herd Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

Ranheim B logo
Ranheim B
PPG 1.75 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5
Herd logo
Herd
PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Home weakness: GOOD (1.75) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.9%0-21.4%0-31.6%0-4+2.9%1 1-00.7%1-12.3%1-23.8%1-34.1%1-4+7.8%2 2-00.9%2-13.0%2-25.0%2-35.5%2-4+10.4%3 3-00.8%3-12.7%3-24.4%3-34.8%3-4+9.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-13.4%4+-25.6%4+-36.1%4+-4+11.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 35.2%
Draw 20.8%
Away win 44.0%
Over 2.5 80.0%
Over 3.5 58.6%
BTTS 65.9%
Home O1.5 74.3%
Away O1.5 84.1%

League track record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 60%
Score Hit 33%
ROI 0.6%
Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)3.3 BTTS prob65.9%

A 44% / xG 2.7-3.3 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–3 5.5%
#2 2–2 5.0%
#3 3–3 4.8%
#4 2–4 4.5%
#5 3–2 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ranheim B2.7
Herd3.3

COMBINED 6.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 58.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RANHEIM B · PPG 1.75

HERD · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.75) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

Ranheim B (H) 35.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Herd (A) 44.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ranheim B face Herd in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ranheim B a 35% chance, the draw 21% and Herd 44%, so Herd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Ranheim B and 3.3 for Herd (6.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ranheim B are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.25 for Herd. This match finished 2-2.

PredictVantage

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