Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 / Rosenborg B vs Volda

Rosenborg B vs Volda Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 11:00

Rosenborg B

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Volda

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-13.4%0-23.4%0-32.3%0-4+1.9%1 1-03.5%1-17.0%1-27.1%1-34.8%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.6%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-34.9%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.5%3-15.0%3-25.0%3-33.4%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-14.1%4+-24.2%4+-32.8%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.8% 52.4% 1.91 -20.2%

Draw 22.8% 26.7% 3.75 -8.7%

Away win 35.4% 32.3% 3.10 +9.7%

Over 2.5 63.9% 71.4% 1.40 -10.5%

Over 3.5 58.3% 52.6% 1.90 +10.8%

BTTS 63.0% 73.5% 1.36 -14.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 0.6%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.0%

H 42% / xG 2.1-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.0%

#2 2–2✓ 7.3%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 1–2 7.1%

#5 3–2 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rosenborg B2.1

Volda2.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 58.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ROSENBORG B · PPG 2.00

VOLDA · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Rosenborg B (H) 41.8%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -20.2%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -8.7%

Volda (A) 35.4%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +9.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rosenborg B face Volda in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rosenborg B a 42% chance, the draw 23% and Volda 35%, so Rosenborg B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Rosenborg B and 2.0 for Volda (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rosenborg B are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Volda. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +10.8%. This match finished 2-2.

Rosenborg B vs Volda Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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