Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 / Gamle Oslo vs Frigg

Gamle Oslo vs Frigg Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

Gamle Oslo

PPG 2.50 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Frigg

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 96.2% vs bookmaker-implied 87.0% — a clear edge.

+10.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.0%0-10.1%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-00.2%1-10.6%1-20.8%1-30.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-00.6%2-11.5%2-22.0%2-31.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.0%3-12.6%3-23.4%3-33.0%3-4+3.7%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-114.2%4+-218.6%4+-316.3%4+-4+20.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.9% 73.5% 1.36 -17.2%

Draw 19.3% 19.0% 5.25 +0.8%

Away win 19.8% 19.0% 5.25 +2.4%

Over 2.5 80.0% 87.7% 1.14 -8.8%

Over 3.5 69.0% 71.4% 1.40 -3.4%

BTTS 65.9% 78.1% 1.28 -15.7%

Home O1.5 96.2% 87.0% 1.15 +10.6%

Away O1.5 73.7% 45.5% 2.20 +62.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)5.1 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob65.9%

H 61% / xG 5.1-2.6 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–2 4.4%

#2 4–2 4.3%

#3 5–3 3.8%

#4 4–3 3.8%

#5 3–2 3.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gamle Oslo5.1

Frigg2.6

COMBINED 7.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.0% · O3.5 PROB 69.0%

Form & verdict PPG

GAMLE OSLO · PPG 2.50

FRIGG · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Gamle Oslo (H) 60.9%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -17.2%

Draw 19.3%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +0.8%

Frigg (A) 19.8%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +2.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gamle Oslo face Frigg in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gamle Oslo a 61% chance, the draw 19% and Frigg 20%, so Gamle Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.1 for Gamle Oslo and 2.6 for Frigg (7.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-2. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gamle Oslo are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Frigg. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +62.1%. This match finished 1-3.

Gamle Oslo vs Frigg Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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