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VfR Mannheim vs Oberachern Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

VfR Mannheim

PPG 1.88 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Oberachern

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away GOOD (1.56)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-13.2%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.8%1-17.8%1-23.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.6%2-19.5%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.8%3-17.8%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-18.4%4+-24.2%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 65.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 70.0% — — —

Away O1.5 26.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.0%

H 57% / xG 2.4-1.0 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–1 7.8%

#4 3–0 7.8%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VfR Mannheim2.4

Oberachern1.0

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VFR MANNHEIM · PPG 1.88

OBERACHERN · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away GOOD (1.56)

Win probability 1X2

VfR Mannheim (H) 57.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oberachern (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VfR Mannheim face Oberachern in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VfR Mannheim a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Oberachern 21%, so VfR Mannheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for VfR Mannheim and 1.0 for Oberachern (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VfR Mannheim are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.56 for Oberachern. This match finished 4-2.

VfR Mannheim vs Oberachern Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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