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TSV Essingen vs Reutlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

TSV Essingen

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Reutlingen

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.5%0-24.4%0-32.4%0-4+1.4%1 1-06.0%1-19.7%1-27.8%1-34.2%1-4+2.4%2 2-05.3%2-18.6%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.1%3-15.0%3-24.1%3-32.2%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-13.3%4+-22.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.2% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 41.1% — — —

Over 2.5 65.3% — — —

Over 3.5 43.1% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 52.7% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.4%

H 37% / xG 1.8-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2✓ 7.8%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TSV Essingen1.8

Reutlingen1.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TSV ESSINGEN · PPG 1.75

REUTLINGEN · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

TSV Essingen (H) 37.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reutlingen (A) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TSV Essingen face Reutlingen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TSV Essingen a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Reutlingen 41%, so Reutlingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for TSV Essingen and 1.6 for Reutlingen (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TSV Essingen are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.13 for Reutlingen. This match finished 1-2.

TSV Essingen vs Reutlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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