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Normannia Gmund vs Ravensburg Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

Normannia Gmund logo
Normannia Gmund
PPG 1.19 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Ravensburg logo
Ravensburg
PPG 1.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-16.2%0-25.1%0-32.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-06.2%1-110.2%1-28.4%1-34.6%1-4+2.7%2 2-05.0%2-18.2%2-26.8%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.7%3-14.5%3-23.7%3-32.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.6%4+-22.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.0%
Draw 22.4%
Away win 41.6%
Over 2.5 64.1%
Over 3.5 40.5%
BTTS 63.4%
Home O1.5 48.3%
Away O1.5 49.0%

League track record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 76%
Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 45%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-1
xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.4%

A 42% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%
#2 1–2 8.4%
#3 2–1 8.2%
#4 2–2 6.8%
#5 0–0 3.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Normannia Gmund1.6
Ravensburg1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NORMANNIA GMUND · PPG 1.19

RAVENSBURG · PPG 1.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.81) vs Home AVERAGE (1.19)

Win probability 1X2

Normannia Gmund (H) 36.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ravensburg (A) 41.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Normannia Gmund face Ravensburg in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Normannia Gmund a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Ravensburg 42%, so Ravensburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Normannia Gmund and 1.6 for Ravensburg (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Normannia Gmund are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.81 for Ravensburg. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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