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Hollenbach vs Pforzheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

Hollenbach

PPG 1.19 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Pforzheim

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-14.0%0-24.3%0-33.0%0-4+2.6%1 1-03.5%1-17.5%1-27.9%1-35.5%1-4+4.8%2 2-03.3%2-16.9%2-27.3%2-35.1%2-4+4.4%3 3-02.0%3-14.2%3-24.5%3-33.1%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-13.0%4+-23.1%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.5% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 42.5% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 55.0% — — —

Away O1.5 62.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.4%

A 42% / xG 1.8-2.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 6.9%

#5 1–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hollenbach1.8

Pforzheim2.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HOLLENBACH · PPG 1.19

PFORZHEIM · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.19) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Hollenbach (H) 35.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pforzheim (A) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hollenbach face Pforzheim in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hollenbach a 36% chance, the draw 22% and Pforzheim 43%, so Pforzheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Hollenbach and 2.1 for Pforzheim (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hollenbach are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.50 for Pforzheim. This match finished 4-3.

Hollenbach vs Pforzheim Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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