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Karlsruher B vs T. Neckarsulm Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

Karlsruher B

PPG 1.06 · HOME

3 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

T. Neckarsulm

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-16.3%0-24.9%0-32.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-06.8%1-110.5%1-28.1%1-34.1%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.6%2-18.6%2-26.7%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.1%3-14.7%3-23.7%3-31.9%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.8%4+-22.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% — — —

Draw 23.1% — — —

Away win 31.9% — — —

Over 2.5 64.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.5% — — —

BTTS 61.0% — — —

Home O1.5 49.1% — — —

Away O1.5 45.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-5

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob61.0%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karlsruher B1.6

T. Neckarsulm1.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KARLSRUHER B · PPG 1.06

T. NECKARSULM · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Karlsruher B (H) 44.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

T. Neckarsulm (A) 31.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karlsruher B face T. Neckarsulm in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karlsruher B a 45% chance, the draw 23% and T. Neckarsulm 32%, so Karlsruher B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Karlsruher B and 1.5 for T. Neckarsulm (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karlsruher B are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.31 for T. Neckarsulm. This match finished 3-5.

Karlsruher B vs T. Neckarsulm Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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