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Goppinger SV vs Denzlingen Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 13:30

Goppinger SV logo
Goppinger SV
PPG 1.00 · HOME
5 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Denzlingen logo
Denzlingen
PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-14.5%0-22.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.0%1-19.4%1-25.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.3%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.8%3-16.8%3-24.0%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-15.8%4+-23.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.8%
Draw 22.6%
Away win 23.6%
Over 2.5 64.1%
Over 3.5 39.9%
BTTS 61.0%
Home O1.5 61.7%
Away O1.5 33.0%

League track record

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5 79%
BTTS 76%
Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 5-0
xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.0%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%
#2 2–1 9.8%
#3 2–0 8.3%
#4 3–1 6.8%
#5 1–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goppinger SV2.1
Denzlingen1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

GOPPINGER SV · PPG 1.00

DENZLINGEN · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Goppinger SV (H) 53.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Denzlingen (A) 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Goppinger SV face Denzlingen in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goppinger SV a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Denzlingen 24%, so Goppinger SV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Goppinger SV and 1.2 for Denzlingen (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goppinger SV are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Denzlingen. This match finished 5-0.

PredictVantage

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