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Denzlingen vs Normannia Gmund Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Baden-Württemberg - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

Denzlingen

PPG 0.47 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Normannia Gmund

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-17.9%0-27.7%0-35.0%0-4+3.8%1 1-05.1%1-19.9%1-29.7%1-36.3%1-4+4.8%2 2-03.2%2-16.2%2-26.1%2-34.0%2-4+3.0%3 3-01.3%3-12.6%3-22.6%3-31.7%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.6% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 46.3% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 79%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob59.7%

A 46% / xG 1.3-2.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 7.7%

#4 0–1 7.9%

#5 1–3 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Denzlingen1.3

Normannia Gmund2.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DENZLINGEN · PPG 0.47

NORMANNIA GMUND · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.47)

Win probability 1X2

Denzlingen (H) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Normannia Gmund (A) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Denzlingen face Normannia Gmund in Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Denzlingen a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Normannia Gmund 46%, so Normannia Gmund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Denzlingen and 2.0 for Normannia Gmund (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Denzlingen are averaging 0.47 points per game versus 1.00 for Normannia Gmund. This match finished 0-3.

Denzlingen vs Normannia Gmund Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg

Match Preview & Prediction

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