Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 / Staal Jorpeland vs Stabaek B

Staal Jorpeland vs Stabaek B Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4

Regular Season - 8 ·Tuesday, May 26, 2026, 16:00

Staal Jorpeland logo
Staal Jorpeland
PPG 1.00 · HOME
1 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5
Stabaek B logo
Stabaek B
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.7%0-20.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-01.1%1-12.5%1-23.0%1-32.4%1-4+2.5%2 2-01.8%2-14.3%2-25.1%2-34.0%2-4+4.2%3 3-02.0%3-14.8%3-25.7%3-34.5%3-4+4.7%4+ 4+-04.1%4+-19.7%4+-211.5%4+-39.1%4+-4+9.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 52.8%
Draw 21.8%
Away win 25.4%
Over 2.5 79.0%
Over 3.5 82.7%
BTTS 66.7%
Home O1.5 85.2%
Away O1.5 68.6%

League track record

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 67%
BTTS 58%
Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 59%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-2
xG (home)3.4 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob66.7%

H 53% / xG 3.4-2.4 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 5.7%
#2 2–2 5.1%
#3 4–2 4.9%
#4 3–1 4.8%
#5 3–3 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Staal Jorpeland3.4
Stabaek B2.4

COMBINED 5.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 82.7%

Form & verdict PPG

STAAL JORPELAND · PPG 1.00

STABAEK B · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Staal Jorpeland (H) 52.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Stabaek B (A) 25.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Staal Jorpeland face Stabaek B in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 4 on Tuesday, May 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Staal Jorpeland a 53% chance, the draw 22% and Stabaek B 25%, so Staal Jorpeland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Staal Jorpeland and 2.4 for Stabaek B (5.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Staal Jorpeland are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Stabaek B. This match finished 1-2.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org