Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
โ
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 79.0% Odds: 1.25 -1.3%
Over 3.5 73.4% Odds: 1.70 +24.8%
BTTS 60.3% Odds: 1.29 -22.2%
O2.5 OVER โ OVER โ BTTS YES โ NO โ
Correct Score Picks
1st 3-1 โ
2nd 4-1 โ
3rd 3-0 โ
4th 4-0 โ
5th 2-1 โ
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -1.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded โ EV is negative (-1.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
๐ฏ STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned STRONG_HOME Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus