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Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 Saturday, May 30, 2026 12:00 
Baerum PPG 1.50 
Grei PPG 0.75
Norway - 3. Division - Girone 1 Saturday, May 30, 2026 12:00 Baerum PPG 1.505-0 MISS
Grei PPG 0.75AwayO15· +44.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 80.0% Odds: 1.17 -6.4%
Over 3.5 69.0% Odds: 1.41 -2.7%
BTTS 65.9% Odds: 1.28 -15.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 4-2 ✘
2nd 3-2 ✘
3rd 4-1 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 5-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Baerum 4.19
Grei 2.15
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -6.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: AwayO15 (+44.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: AwayO15 (+44.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 14 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 79%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 29%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)