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Latvia - Virsliga Saturday, May 30, 2026 12:00 
Liepaja PPG 1.57 
Tukums PPG 0.57
Latvia - Virsliga Saturday, May 30, 2026 12:00 Liepaja PPG 1.573-0 MISS
Tukums PPG 0.57Away + Over 2.5· +33.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.53 -1.9%
Over 3.5 40.5% Odds: 2.35 -4.8%
BTTS 62.2% Odds: 1.50 -6.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Liepaja 1.69
Tukums 1.52
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -1.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+33.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away + Over 2.5 (+33.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.57) vs P(Home)=43.8%