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Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland Västra Götaland - 10 Rydets IP· Onsala Saturday, May 30, 2026 11:00
Onsala logo Onsala PPG 1.25
0-0 MISS
Astrio logo Astrio PPG 0.25
Away· +0.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.8%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -11.5%
Draw 20.2%
Odds: 4.50 EV: -5.5%
Away 20.1%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +0.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.1% Odds: 1.38 -11.5%
Over 3.5 40.5% Odds: 1.95 -21.0%
BTTS 58.0% Odds: 1.45 -15.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-1
4th 3-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Onsala
2.28
Astrio
0.95

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -11.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+0.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.25) vs P(Home)=59.8%

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