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C. Sosnowiec W vs Gornik Leczna W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 08:00

C. Sosnowiec W

PPG 2.67 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Gornik Leczna W

PPG 2.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.1%0-23.9%0-31.7%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.4%1-110.8%1-26.9%1-33.0%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.4%2-19.5%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.3%3-15.6%3-23.6%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.6%4+-22.3%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.9% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 25.8% — — —

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.8%

H 48% / xG 1.8-1.3 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 7.4%

#4 1–2 6.9%

#5 1–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Sosnowiec W1.8

Gornik Leczna W1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

C. SOSNOWIEC W · PPG 2.67

GORNIK LECZNA W · PPG 2.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.67), Away EXCELLENT (2.44)

Win probability 1X2

C. Sosnowiec W (H) 47.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gornik Leczna W (A) 25.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Sosnowiec W face Gornik Leczna W in Poland - Ekstraliga Women on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Sosnowiec W a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Gornik Leczna W 26%, so C. Sosnowiec W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for C. Sosnowiec W and 1.3 for Gornik Leczna W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Sosnowiec W are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 2.44 for Gornik Leczna W. This match finished 4-1.

C. Sosnowiec W vs Gornik Leczna W Prediction— Poland - Ekstraliga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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