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Landvetter vs Qviding Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 10 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 17:00

Landvetter

PPG 2.25 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Qviding

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-17.4%0-24.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.7%1-111.8%1-26.5%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.5%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.6%3-15.1%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.9%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 56.5% 1.77 -13.6%

Draw 24.4% 25.6% 3.90 -2.9%

Away win 26.9% 27.8% 3.60 -1.9%

Over 2.5 53.5% 73.5% 1.36 -27.2%

Over 3.5 31.9% 51.8% 1.93 -38.4%

BTTS 55.3% 74.1% 1.35 -25.3%

Home O1.5 47.7% 67.6% 1.48 -29.4%

Away O1.5 30.2% 47.6% 2.10 -36.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.3%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1✓ 9.5%

#3 1–0 10.7%

#4 2–0 8.6%

#5 0–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landvetter1.6

Qviding1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDVETTER · PPG 2.25

QVIDING · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.25), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

Win probability 1X2

Landvetter (H) 48.8%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -13.6%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -2.9%

Qviding (A) 26.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -1.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Landvetter face Qviding in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landvetter a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Qviding 27%, so Landvetter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Landvetter and 1.1 for Qviding (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landvetter are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.25 for Qviding. This match finished 2-1.

Landvetter vs Qviding Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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