Riga FC vs Grobina Prediction & Tips

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Latvia - Virsliga Regular Season - 16 Skonto stadions· Riga Friday, May 29, 2026 15:00

Riga FC PPG 2.43

2-0 HIT CS2

Grobina PPG 1.43

Away· +42.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 69.0%

Odds: 1.10 EV: -24.1%

Draw 21.6%

Odds: 7.20 EV: +33.3%

Away 9.5%

Odds: 18.00 EV: +42.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.8% Odds: 1.30 -14.5%

Over 3.5 43.1% Odds: 1.80 -22.4%

BTTS 52.0% Odds: 2.15 +11.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✔

3rd 4-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Riga FC

3.14

Grobina

0.70

Model SuggestionHome -24.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -24.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+42.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.43), Away AVERAGE (1.43) - Strong consensus